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BankNordik: All focus on upcoming dividend payment - Nordea

BankNordik sold its Danish business to Spar Nord on 1 February, and has guided that it will distribute DKK 700m in special dividends in 2021-23. The first payment of DKK 450m (~30% of market cap) will be distributed during 2021E.

We do not expect any news on this in the Q1 report but more details should be given in the coming months. Adjusted for capital distributions, we estimate a 2023E P/E of ~5x, and BankNordik will still be extremely well capitalised with a 2023E CET1 ratio of 25%.

The Q1 2021 numbers could be somewhat polluted by the divestment of BankNordik in Denmark. We expect Q1 to have been solid but not as strong as for peer Danish banks. Our Gordon growth-based fair value range is unchanged at DKK 189-207.
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