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Catella: Underlying Catella better than expected - ABG

Q2 Adj. EBIT came in at SEK 113m, vs. ABG at SEK 69m
Catella reported a Q2’21 EBIT of SEK -31m (39m), compared to ABGSC which expected SEK -111m. Adjusting for the negative EO item of the wind down of IPM, the adjusted EBIT came in at 113m, up 55% y-o-y and 65% above ABGSC adjusted EBIT expectation of SEK 69m. Looking at the deviation in the current operational segments, the operating profit in Corporate Finance was among the strongest reported quarter in many years, and came in at SEK 43m, compared to ABGSC which expected SEK 9m. The property investment management segment reported operating profit of SEK 84m, which was 17% higher than ABGSC at SEK 72m. Just as last year, the operating profit in the PIM segment was strengthen by performance fees from the property fund called Catella European Residential Fund, which has achieved a level where it attracts performance-based fees.

Q2 details – Adj. EBIT grew 55% y-o-y
Catella reported sales of SEK 462m, which was 1% above ABGSC at SEK 457m. Adj. EBIT came in at SEK 113m and grew 55% y-o-y, ABGSC expected adjusted EBIT of SEK 69m. Reported EBIT came in at SEK -31m, vs. ABGSC at SEK -111m. The AUM came in at SEK 112bn, in line with above ABGSCe and grew SEK 4bn q-o-q.

Underlying Catella stronger than expected, share up today
The Property investment management continues to grow its AUM, up 4% q-o-q. Overall, we saw better than expected underlying result in PIM and Corporate Finance which will lead to positive revisions of ~3-5% for consensus estimates in 2022-23e at first glance. The stock is currently trading on an EV/EBIT of 9x on 2022e, which is ~40% below our peer group. The large negative EO item should not come as a surprise to the market, since it has been well flagged by the company ahead of the report, and since “core Catella” performed much better than expectations (65% above ABGSC), we expect that will be
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