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Cibus: Hedging in place, for now - Nordea

Ahead of Cibus' Q3 2023 report, we trim our estimates to reflect changes in interest rates. We cut our income from property management (IFPM) and adjusted EPS estimates by 2-3% for 2023-25, due to higher net financials. We do not believe Cibus will carry out any meaningful M&A, as we argue that the company will focus on securing its balance sheet metrics for the foreseeable future. We also believe Cibus will strengthen its balance sheet, either through divestments or equity-like funding, as it likely needs to lower its net LTV from the current ~57%. As yields in the grocery-anchored real estate segment have been stable in recent years, we see limited risk of significant yield expansion and asset value declines. We keep our EPRA NRV-based fair value range of SEK 110-140 unchanged. Cibus is currently trading at a 33% EPRA NRV discount and an implied yield of ~7%. Marketing material commissioned by Cibus.

Ahead of Cibus' Q3 2023 report, we trim our estimates to reflect changes in interest rates. We cut our income from property management (IFPM) and adjusted EPS estimates by 2-3% for 2023-25, due to higher net financials. We do not believe Cibus will carry out any meaningful M&A, as we argue that the company will focus on securing its balance sheet metrics for the foreseeable future. We also believe Cibus will strengthen its balance sheet, either through divestments or equity-like funding, as it likely needs to lower its net LTV from the current ~57%. As yields in the grocery-anchored real estate segment have been stable in recent years, we see limited risk of significant yield expansion and asset value declines. We keep our EPRA NRV-based fair value range of SEK 110-140 unchanged. Cibus is currently trading at a 33% EPRA NRV discount and an implied yield of ~7%. Marketing material commissioned by Cibus.
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