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Consti: Soft result, solid orders - Danske Bank

We do not see much drama in the soft Q1 results as order intake keeps improving. The next trigger is the big decision from the arbitration proceedings, which is expected before 11 June. We keep our fair valuation range to EUR12-14.

Q1 result missed our and consensus estimates both on sales and margin. The result was burdened by EUR0.3m higher costs for the arbitration proceedings versus last year. The first quarter is the weakest for Consti, so the EBIT effect from the Q1 miss is limited in our full year estimates. Consti says profitability was mainly in line with its expectations. Cash flow was tied into working capital during the quarter. Free cash flow was EUR-2.9m versus EUR+2.0m last year.

We keep our fair valuation range unchanged at EUR12-14 based on 2021 estimates, as Consti trades in line with Nordic contractor’s EV/EBIT at 13x. Once the dispute is settled, we are willing to give more emphasis on our estimates for 2022-2023.
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