Enersense International: Powering up towards year-end - Nordea
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Enersense International: Powering up towards year-end - Nordea

Reported revenue growth has been negative for the last six quarters, but we forecast reported net sales to bounce into positive territory (+8% y/y) in Q3. However, we lower our Q3 EBITDA estimate to reflect slower project starts, while raising our Q4 forecasts accordingly. Our full-year adjusted EBITDA forecast of EUR 19m is unchanged. Our fair value range remains at EUR 4.2-5.3, based on our DCF analysis and backed by a peer group comparison. Based on our current estimates, Enersense's 2027E EV/EBIT is 6.2x (peer group median: 11.7x), including the EUR 30m hybrid debt. We see decent upside to the share price if execution of the company's strategy is successful.

Reported revenue growth has been negative for the last six quarters, but we forecast reported net sales to bounce into positive territory (+8% y/y) in Q3. However, we lower our Q3 EBITDA estimate to reflect slower project starts, while raising our Q4 forecasts accordingly. Our full-year adjusted EBITDA forecast of EUR 19m is unchanged. Our fair value range remains at EUR 4.2-5.3, based on our DCF analysis and backed by a peer group comparison. Based on our current estimates, Enersense's 2027E EV/EBIT is 6.2x (peer group median: 11.7x), including the EUR 30m hybrid debt. We see decent upside to the share price if execution of the company's strategy is successful.
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