Before we receive any additional information about the project and its earning structure, we assume a capacity of 250 MW, with revenues of SEK 10m/MW and a 10% EBIT margin. It has not yet been decided how the revenue will be split, but we expect Eolus to receive 100% of the revenue recognition and project-related cost, after which 49% of the project’s net profit will be attributable to Hydro REIN’s shareholders. Finally, we expect the project to be sold, with the revenue recognition to begin in Q4’21, and the commissioning to take place in Q4’23. Based on the acquisition, we raise our ‘21e EPS by 13% and our ’22e-‘23e EPS by 11-23%.
We raise our fair value range to SEK 200-260 (193-252)/share
This acquisition strengthens our view on Eolus’ ability to continuously find innovative ways to increase its project portfolio. We lift our fair value range to SEK 200-260 (193-252) per share on estimate revisions and good project execution.
Research 20210630