Rapid growth still expected
Fellow Finance set its 2023 financial targets, seeking EUR 23m in revenue, of which a significant share from business finance and international markets, and an EBIT-margin of 15%. In 2020 the company expects revenue of approx. EUR 11m and earnings to be negative (H2/2020 close to zero). Our revenue estimates remain largely intact while our 2020 EBIT estimate is up by EUR 0.5m and our 2021-2023 EBIT-margin estimates down by 2-6pp.
HOLD with a target price of EUR 2.8
Although we have lowered our mid-term profitability estimates, the new initiatives appear rather appealing and raise our confidence in Fellow Finance’s ability to navigate the challenging consumer lending environment. Performance in business lending has also been better than anticipated, and loan volumes are picking up nicely. We retain our HOLD-rating and TP of EUR 2.8.