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Gomspace: Forward-leaning expansion thanks to orders - Danske Bank

Q1 was on the weak side, with deviations vs our estimates mainly due to lower volumes and issues affecting the gross margin. However, these issues are now largely resolved and GomSpace reiterated its 2021 revenue guidance range, which coupled with a follow-up order from UnseenLabs means we have made only small revisions. On the back of slightly higher peer multiples, we raise our valuation range to SEK17-27 from SEK15-27.

Based on our estimates, GomSpace trades at EV/sales of 3.3x for 2021 and 2.5x for 2022. We continue to see value in the shares but acknowledge that this is not without risk, as clients need to progress further with their projects in order for GomSpace to realise its potential. In other words, the outlook for commercial orders needs to become clearer, which might take until later in 2021 or 2022. Commercial orders have higher gross margins than science orders, and thus are more material valuation drivers for shares. The pandemic resulted in some client delays, but we believe the operating environment will become easier. On the back of mainly higher peer group multiples, we adjust our valuation range to SEK17-27/share from SEK15-27.
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