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Grängesberg Exploration: Upwards revision of reserves accompanied by strong macro backdrop - Emergers

The ongoing preparations for the DFS of Dannemora has now yielded its second upwards revision, a 16% increase in mineral reserves to 30.8 Mt with 32.2% Iron, and over a year’s extension of the life of mine. The >4Mt reserves increase is based on recovering the 21% iron which is in the tailings deposited underground during the last production period, 2012-2015. After a revision of our estimates for production profile, FX, life of mine and an increase in power expenses we find only a slight net effect on our fair value, now at SEK 96-165 (98-168) per share in 12-24 months. This leaves room for a considerable revaluation where we see accelerating structural demand for green CO2-free steel, a prolonged supply crisis following Russia’s cut off from Europe and progress with GRANGEX’s DFSs and environmental permits for the two projects as the main catalysts.

The ongoing preparations for the DFS of Dannemora has now yielded its second upwards revision, a 16% increase in mineral reserves to 30.8 Mt with 32.2% Iron, and over a year’s extension of the life of mine. The >4Mt reserves increase is based on recovering the 21% iron which is in the tailings deposited underground during the last production period, 2012-2015. After a revision of our estimates for production profile, FX, life of mine and an increase in power expenses we find only a slight net effect on our fair value, now at SEK 96-165 (98-168) per share in 12-24 months. This leaves room for a considerable revaluation where we see accelerating structural demand for green CO2-free steel, a prolonged supply crisis following Russia’s cut off from Europe and progress with GRANGEX’s DFSs and environmental permits for the two projects as the main catalysts.
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