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Napatech: 2024 could be a catalyst year - ABG

Potential for transformative design wins in next 12 months
We forecast 40% revenue CAGR '24e-'26e
If successful: our different scenarios imply P/Es of 10x, 2.6x and 1.0x


Strong growth outlook for the coming years...

Napatech's traditional SmartNIC business has been hurt over the past two years by a soft server market, with revenue 27% below '20/'21 levels. We forecast a gradual recovery in this segment in '24e-'25e, with 16-17% annual growth p.a. in combination with: 1) a ramp-up of the F5 contract and 2) first meaningful revenue from the new IPU products. We expect this to drive a revenue CAGR of 40% from '24e to '26e.
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