Bildkälla: Stockfoto

Net Insight: Firing on all cylinders - ABG

Q3: +34% FX adj. growth and EBIT 80% above ABGSCe
We raise ‘22e-‘23e EBIT by 38-45%
New fair value range: SEK 3.1–6.6 (1.7–3.9)

NETI delivered a Q3’21 report showing impressive 34% FX adj. sales growth for sales of SEK 101m (+17% vs. ABGSCe). The higher-than-expected growth rate was driven by solid performance across all geographical regions, owing to continued improvement in the market’s investment appetite. Its customers continued to make capacity upgrades to its media networks, and some have won new sports rights, leading them to build out their networks to handle the new production. Growth in Q3 was somewhat boosted by the delivery of the Aperi order received in Q2 (~SEK 7.7m). We do not forecast more Aperi orders of similar magnitude in the near term, but we do expect a contribution from the 5G sync order, starting in Q4’21. In terms of EBIT, the company surprised us with an EBIT margin of 11.7% (+4pp vs. ABGSCe of 7.7%) for EBIT of SEK 11.8m (+80% vs. ABGSCe of SEK 6.6m), indicating that it is on track to achieve its financial targets quicker than we expected.

We are encouraged by the strong sales growth the company has delivered this year as well as the scalability it has achieved. On our new estimates, we forecast a 32% CAGR for ’21e-‘23e EBIT. The NETI share currently trades at 27x ‘23e EV/EBIT. We raise our fair value range to SEK 3.1–6.6 (1.7–3.9) on the back of recent events. In one of our DCF scenarios, we now take a more optimistic approach to the new 5G sync opportunity. The wider price range reflects the uncertainty of the 5G sync opportunity. We also view positively on the announcement of a buyback programme of up to 16m (~4% of stock) share until May 2022.
Börsvärldens nyhetsbrev
ANNONSER