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Pricer: Solid quarter, despite tough comps - ABG

Sales & EBIT better than expected, but orders miss
We expect further gross margin pressure in Q4’21
28-14x ’21-‘23e EV/EBIT

Pricer delivered better Q3 results than expected. Sales of SEK 496m were 16% ahead of ABGSCe SEK 426m, corresponding to -12% y-o-y due to very challenging comps. While gross margins were pressured due to increased freight costs and an unfavourable customer mix (we estimate margin-dilutive Best Buy sales of SEK 70m in Q3), gross profit was 10% above our forecast, which led to a 38% EBIT beat. The outperformance in sales chiefly stemmed from Americas, where we understand that CTDA contributed well during the quarter. Orders, however, declined 30% y-o-y to SEK 307m (-15% vs. ABGSCe). We emphasise that Pricer did not announce any large orders in the quarter, while we estimate an underlying order intake of +12% y-o-y. Despite the miss versus our forecast, we think that this was a solid metric given that many customers are currently holding back investments due to the supply chain issues.

The share is currently trading at 19x ‘22e EV/EBIT on our estimates, while we forecast a ‘19-‘23e EBIT CAGR of 21%.
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