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SRV Group: Progress being made - Evli Research

Decent results, construction margins held up

SRV reported somewhat two-fold Q3 results. Revenue was below our expectations (EUR 223.6m/234.0m Evli/cons.) despite more developer-contracted housing units being recognized as income than we had expected. Operating profit was below expectations at EUR 1.7m (EUR 2.9m/3.0m Evli/cons.) while the operative operating profit amounted to EUR 7.1m (Evli EUR 2.9m), with the cancellation of a EUR 3.1m provision for expenses that were recognized due to a ruling by a Russian court impacting positively. Relative profitability in the Construction segment held up well and corresponded to our expectations.

Margin improvement supported by cost decline

Visibility is somewhat weakened going into 2021. The housing prices recovered well from the dip in H1/20 and activity has been at healthy levels. The order backlog has been relatively stable in the past four quarters and with the current project portfolio we see potential for minor growth in 2021, expecting a slight sales decline in business construction and growth in housing construction. The sales development is currently however clearly of secondary importance as improvement in profitability to offset the interest expense burden is essential. We expect margins to improve in 2021, as margins in 2020 have been pressed by high construction costs and the situation should ease going forward.

BUY with a target price of EUR 0.64 (0.66)

The uncertainty has particularly affected the shopping centres in Russia and exits continue to appear more distant. The construction outlook remains relatively decent, although demand within certain business construction areas is being affected by the pandemic. We adjust our target price to EUR 0.64 (0.66) with our BUY-rating intact.

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