Bildkälla: Stockfoto

Stendörren: Several ways to grow - ABG

Large estimate revisions – ’21-23e CEPS CAGR of 15%
Vast project portfolio and strong balance sheet
We assign a fair value range of SEK 260-305

We have reviewed our estimates, incorporating all announced projects with completion until 2023. We have also lowered central administration costs and net interest for the full period and have included template acquisitions of SEK 200m p.a. in ’22-’23, leading to a 12% rise in CEPS for ’23. We forecast a CEPS CAGR of 15% for ’21-’23 (6% for ’18-’20).

We view the occupancy rate of 88% as a potential and an increased focus on asset management could, in our opinion, lead to sector-high like-for-like rental income growth. We also argue that the average yield requirement of 5.7% is too high relative to transactions seen in the direct market and estimate yield compression of 45 bps until ‘23e. The share is trading at NTM P/CEPS of 35.2x and a premium to EPRA NRV of 38%. We assign a fair value range of SEK 260-305, which based on our NTM estimates implies P/CEPS of 33x-39x and P/EPRA NRV of 1.30x-1.53x.
Börsvärldens nyhetsbrev
ANNONSER