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Strongpoint: Buckle up, headed for a strong H2 - ABG

NOK 400-500m order intake points to strong H2’21
17% organic growth and plenty of M&A firepower
12x 2022e EV/EBITA, DCF points to NOK 35-50/share

Following the divestment of its Labels division, StrongPoint is now a pure retail technology company. This business is growing rapidly, with organic growth of 17% in H1’21. StrongPoint recently signed a distribution agreement with Autostore and has now become a one-stop-shop for in-store as well as logistics solutions for grocery retailers. Along with its Click & Collect lockers and picking solution, we argue that StrongPoint’s product portfolio is well positioned to capitalize on the growth that we expect to see in online grocery retail over the coming decade. On top of this, StrongPoint is also actively looking for M&A targets and now has ~NOK 330m in available firepower as well the ability to raise more debt.

On our updated estimates, StrongPoint is now trading at 12x 2022e EV/EBITA and 18x adj. P/E. If StrongPoint reaches its 2025 targets (NOK 350m in EBITDA at mid-point), the EPS could increase to NOK 5. If so, the P/E would drop to 5.8x. Our DCF points to a price range of NOK 35-50/share.
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