Bildkälla: Stockfoto

Train Alliance: Earnings in line with expectations - SEB

Train Alliance reported Q1 2021 earnings in line with our estimates on revenues that are slightly below our estimate. The impact of the Covid-19 pandemic on passenger traffic is temporary and as societies open up railroad activity is set to start improving. With continued strong growth in rail transportation, Train Alliance has in-depth railway competence combined with a unique land asset from which it is set to create value for many years to come.

The shares have been strong and now trade at a premium to the latest NAV of c. 45%. We believe this is driven by expectations of a positive outcome in an upcoming zoning process in Sigtuna, which we described in Train Alliance: A unique opportunity to invest in railways, 18 March. If successful, it could have a positive impact on NAV of some SEK 300-400m or SEK 11-15 per share. This potential, and others, warrants a premium to current NAV, which is also supported by a DCF approach. We derive a fair share price range of SEK 79-85 per share with a mid-point value of SEK 82.
Börsvärldens nyhetsbrev
ANNONSER