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Vitrolife: Growth outlook improved on acquisition - ABG

30% growth as market is back to pre-pandemic levels
Igenomix raises organic growth to above 10% p.a.
Share trading at ’22-23e EV/EBITDA of 72-63x

Vitrolife’s Q3’21 adj. EBITDA of SEK 170m was in line with expectations. It echoed the message from Q2’21 that global IVF cycles recovered to pre-pandemic levels, which drove organic growth of 30%. Laggards continues to be the IVF tourism-driven markets, such as Spain and Southeast Asia, while EMEA (agg) and the US are now doing more cycles. Confirming the market recovery, sales were solid in all product areas, including 72% growth in Technology and an all-time high for Consumables and Genomics sales. The US market is starting to get impacted by capacity restraints, where qualified staff have sought work in other fields during the pandemic. This could impact the number of IVF cycles near term, but in the long run, it should drive increasing demand for products and technology that simplify workflows and decrease human hands-on time.

Entering the genetic testing should ensure Vitrolife’s position in the high growth area in IVF and should allow >10% organic growth in the mid-term. Furthermore, we view the company post-acquisition as an even stronger platform for further M&A in the IVF and women’s health space and note that ND/EBITDA remains at a reasonable 0.9x for ‘22e. The share is trading at a ’22-‘23e EV/EBITDA of 72-63x.
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