Deutsche Beteiligungs: NAV guidance adjusted on peer multiples; case fully intact - NuWays
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Deutsche Beteiligungs: NAV guidance adjusted on peer multiples; case fully intact - NuWays

FY26 NAV per share is now seen at € 32-36 (old: € 36-40, eNuW old: € 38.5). Gross losses on
measurement and disposal for H1 (Jan-Jun) are expected at some € -50m vs a € 20m gain in the
prior-year period. Importantly, this is a purely valuation-driven, non-cash effect: as DBAG's portfolio is marked to market against listed comparables at each reporting date, the recent de-rating of peer multiples, presumably most visible in the software and industrial holdings, mechanically translates into a lower NAV. This says nothing about the operational health of the portfolio companies or the quality of the underlying equity stories. Notably, such multiple-driven swings work in both directions; a recovery of small/mid-cap valuations would reverse the effect.

In sum, we regard the adjustment as a technical reflection of current market sentiment rather than a blow to the case: portfolio operations look intact, the fee business is running ahead of plan, fundraising remains on course and shareholder returns are compelling. BUY with a € 36 PT (old: € 39) based on SOTP (DCF for Fund Services + discount to our NAV per share estimate at year-end).
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