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Etteplan: Demand and growth in focus - Evli Research

Expect a decent start to the year

Etteplan reports Q1 results on May 5th. 2020 was a challenging year for Etteplan due to the Coronavirus pandemic, with the organic decrease in revenue at 8.3%. Due to rapid and efficient cost savings measures Etteplan was still able to maintain solid profitability, with the EBITA-margin at 10.1% (2019: 9.9%). To our understanding the customer demand during the beginning of the year has continued to move in the right direction, with customer companies having adapted to operating under the current environment. We have made no changes to our estimates ahead of the Q1 results, expecting revenue of EUR 71.1m and EBITA of EUR 6.4m.

Demand situation and growth drivers’ key themes

Going into 2021 key themes will be the development of customer demand and pick up in Etteplan’s internal growth initiatives, with quite some work left to reach the target of EUR over 500m in revenue in 2024. As earlier mentioned, customer demand has been developing positively and has for instance been at a good level in China, while demand in other countries could still see notable improvement. We expect growth of 11.2% in 2021, aided largely by the Tegema and TekPartner acquisitions. Our organic growth assumptions remain rather modest and an improvement in the demand situation could warrant higher estimates. We expect the EBITA-margin to remain near previous year levels at 9.9% (2020: 10.1%).

SELL with a target price of EUR 13.6

We have made no changes to our estimates and retain our target price of EUR 13.6 and SELL-rating. Etteplan currently trades above peers and with the prevailing uncertainty due to the pandemic and growth pick-up we find the >21x 2021 P/E multiples hard to justify.
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