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Flexion Mobile: Game signings the highlight of Q3 - ABG

Q3 sales growth of 26% y-o-y
We still see potential to double revenues
New DCF valuation range of SEK 17-28 (17-29)

Flexion reported Q3 revenues of GBP 7.8m (6.2m), corresponding to 28% y-o-y growth but flat q-o-q. This was 8% behind our forecast, and we think the deviation was caused to some extent by seasonality but even more by lower promotions in the channel stores. Gross margin was 13.1%, the same as last year, but a 1.1 p.p. improvement from Q2 on the deal with its largest customer in the US. We expected a gross margin of 12%, so gross profit was therefore in line with our estimate. EBIT was GBP -0.02m (0.05m), behind ABGSCe at GBP 0.1m. The shortfall stems from higher overhead costs that were mainly an effect of FX movements. Although Q3 was softer on numbers, we must acknowledge that Flexion signed four top-tier games during the quarter, which we believe will set the company up for two exciting years ahead.

We make slight adjustments to our DCF valuation range that yields a range of SEK 17-28 (17-29).
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