Gft Technologies: Q3 preview: code for a comeback, chg. - NuWays AG Research
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Gft Technologies: Q3 preview: code for a comeback, chg. - NuWays AG Research

GFT's Q3 should put earnings upside back in focus. Faster growth and improving UK profitability suggest that the 2026 guidance is too conservative. Our forecast still allows for a slowdown in Q4 earnings growth, leaving room for outperformance.

Peer results highlight continued IT spending by financial institutions. Accenture's Financial Services revenue grew 6% yoy in local currency in fiscal Q4. Cognizant's corresponding segment grew c. 8% yoy in constant currencies in Q3, excluding the contribution from third-party product sales. On 30 October, Capgemini raised its FY26 revenue outlook, implying 4-4.5% organic growth, and highlighted Financial Services as a growth driver. While Accenture's group FY27 guidance remains measured, implying 0.5-4% organic growth (+2-2.5pp from acquisitions), the company highlights ongoing investment in core systems and data infrastructure needed for AI adoption. These spending priorities should support demand for GFT's banking, cloud and data expertise (eNuW).

The investment case extends beyond the UK recovery. GFT's banking expertise and deep knowledge of clients' complex IT systems create switching costs and support follow-on business as banks modernise their core platforms to enable AI. Expanding smartshore delivery and shifting towards higher-value services offer structural margin upside. Its capital-light business model also supports cash generation.

Action: adj. EBIT increased by c. 3% for 2026e, supported by FX and positive peer cross reads.

BUY, with a PT of € 32, based on DCF.
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