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Redeye estimates an 85% probability of the Neonode side settling against Samsung in mid-2025, which would give an estimated USD31 per share to Neonode. Further down the road comes Apple, which is more likely to go all the way to trial. A settlement against Samsung would, however, add pressure on Apple (and Google). Redeye estimates that winning in court against Apple can give as much as USD121 per share to Neonode. Redeye thinks chances against Apple are slimmer than against Samsung, and estimates a 20% chance of the Neonode side winning in court against Apple. After that, there is more to chase from not only Google, but likely all smartphone OEMs. Redeye raises its fair value range.
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