On our figures the Q2 results alone would imply relatively unchanged revisions on EBITA. However, consensus estimates are still too conservative for ‘23e when it comes to Integrated Solutions, and we think consensus har to come up by another 5% on ‘23e, (+3% on group EBITA).
Final thoughts
We expect it to trade down c. 3% on the report today, as the share traded strong into numbers and the report was not that impressive. However, we still like Nolato’s long-term prospects. On pre-Q2 numbers, Nolato is now valued at 16x ‘22e EV/EBITA, which is 40% discount to compounder peers with similar financial performance. For example, Nolato has 17% EBITA CAGR over the last 10 years (and M&A headroom of SEK 5bn ‘22e, able to sustain >15% EBITA CAGR going forward), on par with Lifco that trades at 28x EV/EBITA ‘22e. More information expected during conference call at CET 15:00 Dial-in: SE: +46 850 558 365 UK: +44 333 300 90 31 US: +1 631 913 1422 PIN: 42123933# Webcast: https://tv.streamfabriken.com/nolato-q2-2021