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Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn: Guides for 2021 pre-tax profit in the upper end of guidance range - Nordea

Q3 2021 profit before loan losses came in at DKK 120m, DKK 15m above our estimate. Total income came in at DKK 312m, DKK 10m (3%) ahead of our estimate led by a DKK 15m beat on market value adjustments, which seems to gain support from revaluation of investment properties. Total costs came in at DKK 192m, DKK 5m (2%) below our estimate and led by lower-than-expected staff costs and administrative expenses. NII came in at 143m, up 2% y/y but DKK 10m (6%) below our estimate. On the other hand, fee income came in at DKK 156, DKK 7m (4%) ahead of our expectations. Loan losses came in at DKK 10m, DKK 25m below weaker than our estimate. We, however, note that Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn lifts its management buffer by DKK 18m q/q, thus underlying loan losses represented a reversal of DKK 8m. The CET1 ratio was 15.1%, 0.5 pp above our estimate. Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn now expects 2021 pre-tax profit of DKK 485-525m (prev iously DKK 450-525m). We estimate DKK 524m, corresponding to the top of the guidance range. Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn mentions in the Q3 2021 report that it intends to announce a new strategy plan that will succeed the ‘New Ways’ strategy plan before April 2022. We expect to see only minor 2022-23 EPS revisions amid the report.

Q3 2021 profit before loan losses came in at DKK 120m, DKK 15m above our estimate. Total income came in at DKK 312m, DKK 10m (3%) ahead of our estimate led by a DKK 15m beat on market value adjustments, which seems to gain support from revaluation of investment properties. Total costs came in at DKK 192m, DKK 5m (2%) below our estimate and led by lower-than-expected staff costs and administrative expenses. NII came in at 143m, up 2% y/y but DKK 10m (6%) below our estimate. On the other hand, fee income came in at DKK 156, DKK 7m (4%) ahead of our expectations. Loan losses came in at DKK 10m, DKK 25m below weaker than our estimate. We, however, note that Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn lifts its management buffer by DKK 18m q/q, thus underlying loan losses represented a reversal of DKK 8m. The CET1 ratio was 15.1%, 0.5 pp above our estimate. Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn now expects 2021 pre-tax profit of DKK 485-525m (prev iously DKK 450-525m). We estimate DKK 524m, corresponding to the top of the guidance range. Sparekassen Sjælland-Fyn mentions in the Q3 2021 report that it intends to announce a new strategy plan that will succeed the ‘New Ways’ strategy plan before April 2022. We expect to see only minor 2022-23 EPS revisions amid the report.
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