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NoHo Partners: Reiterated guidance puts a lot of pressure on Q4 performance - Nordea

NoHo Partners reported Q3 EBIT of EUR 9.9m (+14% y/y), 5% below Vara Research consensus and 11% below our estimate. Q3 net sales were up 11% y/y at EUR 107m, but fell 3% below consensus and 5% below our estimate. We believe the miss was mainly attributable to the International operations, which fell 34% below our expectations on EBIT. We believe this was mainly due to the seasonally softer quarter in Switzerland. The Finnish operations’ EBIT beat our estimate by 8% despite the weak market. NoHo expects demand to recover during 2025 and notes a good number of event reservations for H2. Guidance for 2024 was reiterated: NoHo expects around EUR 430m sales and around 9.5% EBIT margin, implying a 15% sales growth y/y and slight pressure on EBIT. For Q4, the reiterated guidance indicates significant y/y improvement (+15% for sales and +35% for EBIT). However, we continue to view the guidance as challenging, and expect moderate revisions on 2024E consensus EBIT following the Q3 results.

NoHo Partners reported Q3 EBIT of EUR 9.9m (+14% y/y), 5% below Vara Research consensus and 11% below our estimate. Q3 net sales were up 11% y/y at EUR 107m, but fell 3% below consensus and 5% below our estimate. We believe the miss was mainly attributable to the International operations, which fell 34% below our expectations on EBIT. We believe this was mainly due to the seasonally softer quarter in Switzerland. The Finnish operations’ EBIT beat our estimate by 8% despite the weak market. NoHo expects demand to recover during 2025 and notes a good number of event reservations for H2. Guidance for 2024 was reiterated: NoHo expects around EUR 430m sales and around 9.5% EBIT margin, implying a 15% sales growth y/y and slight pressure on EBIT. For Q4, the reiterated guidance indicates significant y/y improvement (+15% for sales and +35% for EBIT). However, we continue to view the guidance as challenging, and expect moderate revisions on 2024E consensus EBIT following the Q3 results.
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