Ohb: Positioned for the award cycle - NuWays AG Research
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Ohb: Positioned for the award cycle - NuWays AG Research

Q2 delivered margin expansion on more moderate growth, while the contracts underpinning the investment case are still ahead. Guidance was confirmed on both lines, and the balance sheet is now in a net cash position, leaving OHB well positioned ahead of the major award cycle. Growth slowed to +9% yoy in Q2 from +15% in Q1 and the guidance implies a re-acceleration to 13% yoy in H2 to reach the target. This would imply that H2 contributes 55% of the full-year figure, in line with the 2025 seasonality.

The award cycle should broaden further from 2027, backed by ESA's € 22bn MC25 budget, Germany's € 35bn military space investment through 2030 and the proposed € 131bn EU space and defence envelope for 2028-34. German defence awards should begin in 2027, led by SATCOMBw4, a c. € 10bn programme with an estimated OHB workshare of 30-50% (eNuW). SBMD and SPOCK 2 form the other major pillars of this defence cycle.

BUY, PT € 340, based on DCF.
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