Bet-at-home: Q3'26: Setting the stage for a stronger performance from FY27e - NuWays AG Research
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Bet-at-home: Q3'26: Setting the stage for a stronger performance from FY27e - NuWays AG Research

Yesterday, bet-at-home.com reported Q3 figures: Online Gaming and the bottom line beat expectations, while Online Betting has yet to return to volume growth, leaving the top line slightly short. Management is seen to address this with additional digital marketing and customer management efforts highlighted in Tuesday’s guidance adjustment.

Adjusting our estimates to reflect the new pace. We lower our FY26 GGR estimate to € 47.4m (previously € 49m) and EBITDA before special items to € -0.3m (previously € 0.5m). For FY27e, we reduce GGR to € 51.1m (previously € 53.9m) and EBITDA before special items to € 3.9m (previously € 5.3m). As FY26 FCF is burdened by the combination of the softer top line and additional investments, it is no longer a meaningful valuation basis. Hence, we roll forward to FCFY’27e.

Maintaining BUY at a PT of € 4.7 (previously € 5.0).
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