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Ferronordic: Some brightness in the market expected - Nordea

Ferronordic will present its Q2 numbers on 13 August. We expect organic sales to decline by 31% y/y and EBIT by 44% y/y for the quarter. We expect new unit sales to decline substantially, but we raise our sales estimates by 5% for 2020 based on less negative AEBRUS construction machine sales data than anticipated.

We believe the newly acquired German Truck operations will struggle due to COVID-19, similar to regional peers and suppliers such as Traton and Volvo. Fortunately, Ferronordic has historically handled volume fluctuations well due to its agile management, flexible cost base and its aftermarket exposure, which usually protects its margins.

We raise our fair equity value range to SEK 141-162 (125-145).
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