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Nanexa: Getting ready for its comeback - ABG

New pilot plant lays foundation for licensing agreements NEX-18 programme pause pushes approvals to ‘28 Updated valuation with new fair value range of SEK 3-9 New pilot plant and AM extended collaboration pave the way

With the new pilot plant opened last month, together with the recently announced extension of the Applied Materials collaboration, we believe Nanexa is paving the way for future potential licensing agreements and partnerships. The new plant will allow Nanexa to scale up production processes for both internal and external projects and to produce Nanexa’s own clinical trial material for all the different phases of clinical development. The premises are also prepared for sterile/aseptic production, allowing work with cytostatic drugs as well as biologics. During the remainder of H2’22, we expect initiation of the NEX-20 Ph 1 trial during Q4’22 as well as the announcement of the selected compound and indication for the third proprietary programme NEX-21/22. While the precise timeline for re-starting the NEX-18 clinical programme remains uncertain, Nanexa has confirmed that it is expected during 2023. This will come after completion of the ongoing preclinical programme to optimise the new formulation of the drug candidate.

NEX-18 safety issues postpone potential licensing deals With a clearer view on the path ahead for the company, we update our model and postpone the estimated out-licensing of NEX-18 to 2025 (2023) and its approval and commercialisation to 2028 (2026). For NEX-20, we also delay the expected out-licensing deal to 2025 (2024) and its approval and commercialisation to 2028 (2027). Finally, we also move the two expected future licensing agreements for the external projects A to 2023 (2022) and B to 2024 (2023). We do not yet include the NEX-21/22 programme in our valuation.

New fair value range of SEK 3-9 (SEK 4-10) We increase our WACC to 14% (13%), partly to reflect external macro-economic factors but also on our expectation of a new share issue of ... Läs mer på ABG Sundal Collier
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